William and Mary is not a very good team this year they are 304th in the RPI, but they nearly upset VCU on the road as 20 point dogs losing in over time. That was a heart breaker I think they struggle to get up against NC Wilmington today. Actually VCU is not the team they were last year and they struggled earlier in the league so I don't think that near win is as impressive as the public thinks. Again public is on Wmary, because they nearly beat VCU, but they are dogs at home for a reason. NC Wilmington has a considerable advantage in rebounding in this game and that should be the difference.
The once pre season favorite has staggered to a 3-3 conference start. They were -21 FTA at Oregon State as they let the Beavers dictate the pace. That changes here today in a must win game if this team is going to go anywhere this year. Oregon is not as good as their record shows and they will have their hands full with a physical UCLA team sporting two 6 foot 10 players in Smith and Wear who should be able to have the advantage in rebounding. The defense has been the issue but I see them stepping up in a critical game. UCLA is shooting 42% from 3 over their last 5 games and actually their offense has carried them, but the defense has got to step up in this game. Oregon is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 at home and theirs a reason this line continues to climb. Despite their record they are not a better team than UCLA and we will see it on Saturday
